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<!DOCTYPE html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
<meta charset="UTF-8" />
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0" />
<title>Santiago Rodrigo Cesteros</title>
<meta name="description" content="Santiago Cesteros. Santiago Rodrigo. Santiago Rodrigo Cesteros, economista y PhD Candidate en la Universidad de Barcelona. Investigación en crimen, finanzas públicas y taxation." />
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<header class="masthead">
<a href="#top" class="masthead__name">
<span class="masthead__mark">SC</span>
Santiago Rodrigo Cesteros
</a>
<nav class="masthead__nav">
<a href="#about" data-target="about">About</a>
<a href="#interests" data-target="interests">Interests</a>
<a href="#research" data-target="research">Research</a>
<a href="#publications" data-target="publications">Publications</a>
<a href="#resources" data-target="resources">Resources</a>
<a href="cv.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-umami-event="cv-download" data-umami-event-source="nav">CV <span class="arrow-mini">↗</span></a>
<a href="#contact" data-target="contact">Contact</a>
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<button class="theme-toggle" id="themeToggle" type="button" aria-label="Toggle dark mode" title="Toggle dark mode">
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</header>
<main id="top">
<!-- HERO -->
<section class="hero">
<div class="hero__grid">
<figure class="hero__photo reveal reveal--up">
<img src="img/profile_5.jpg" alt="Santiago Rodrigo Cesteros" />
</figure>
<div class="hero__content">
<span class="hero__eyebrow reveal" data-delay="0">
Economist · Researcher · Consultant
</span>
<h1 class="hero__name">
<span class="hero__name-line reveal" data-delay="80">Santiago</span>
<span class="hero__name-line reveal" data-delay="160">Rodrigo</span>
<span class="hero__name-line reveal" data-delay="240">Cesteros<span class="hero__name-period">.</span></span>
</h1>
<p class="hero__lede reveal" data-delay="380">
I am an economist working on <em>public finance</em>,
<em>development</em>, <em>crime</em>, and <em>social policy</em>.
My research uses quasi-experimental and experimental methods
to study how public policy and institutions shape outcomes
— often in settings where markets and formal institutions
underserve large groups, with a primary focus on
Latin America.
</p>
<p class="hero__affiliation reveal" data-delay="460">
Currently —
<strong>PhD Candidate</strong> at the University of Barcelona
&
<strong>Consultant</strong> at the World Bank’s Development Research Group (DECRG).
</p>
<div class="hero__cta reveal" data-delay="540">
<a href="cv.pdf" class="btn btn--solid" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-umami-event="cv-download" data-umami-event-source="hero">
Download CV <span class="arrow">→</span>
</a>
<a href="mailto:santiagorcesteros@gmail.com" class="btn btn--ghost" data-umami-event="contact-email" data-umami-event-source="hero">
Get in touch <span class="arrow">→</span>
</a>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</section>
<!-- ABOUT -->
<section class="entry" id="about">
<aside class="entry__label">
<span class="entry__num">I</span>
<span class="entry__name">About</span>
</aside>
<div class="entry__body">
<p class="reveal" data-stagger>
I am a consultant at the World Bank, specializing in public finance
and development economics, and I am currently pursuing a PhD in
Economics at the University of Barcelona. My academic background
includes a Master’s degree in Economics from
<em>Universidad de San Andrés</em> and a Bachelor’s
degree from the <em>Universidad de Buenos Aires</em>, where I
graduated <em>magna cum laude</em>.
</p>
<p class="reveal" data-stagger>
Over the past several years, I have gained extensive experience
conducting applied research at institutions such as the World Bank,
the University of Zurich, and the Inter-American Development Bank.
My work has spanned diverse areas including impact evaluation,
behavioral economics, financial inclusion, and crime economics,
and has contributed to publications in leading academic journals.
</p>
<p class="reveal" data-stagger>
Driven by a deep interest in understanding how economic policies
affect development and social welfare, I have led and collaborated
on research projects across Africa, Asia, and Latin America,
applying rigorous empirical methods. I am particularly focused on
the intersections between organized crime, institutions, and
public policy, as well as on how migration dynamics influence
economic and social outcomes. I also have a growing interest in
public finance with a focus on <em>white-collar crime</em>, and
in how such offenses impact state capacity and tax enforcement.
</p>
</div>
</section>
<!-- INTERESTS -->
<section class="entry" id="interests">
<aside class="entry__label">
<span class="entry__num">II</span>
<span class="entry__name">Interests</span>
</aside>
<div class="entry__body">
<ol class="research">
<li class="research__item reveal" data-stagger>
<span class="research__num">01</span>
<div class="research__body">
<h3>Public Finance & Taxation</h3>
<p>
Tax enforcement, fiscal capacity, white-collar crime,
corruption, and their implications for institutional trust
and governance.
</p>
</div>
</li>
<li class="research__item reveal" data-stagger>
<span class="research__num">02</span>
<div class="research__body">
<h3>Development Economics</h3>
<p>
Applied empirical work with a regional focus on
Latin America and Africa — impact evaluation of
policy interventions.
</p>
</div>
</li>
<li class="research__item reveal" data-stagger>
<span class="research__num">03</span>
<div class="research__body">
<h3>Crime Economics</h3>
<p>
The economic impact of organized crime and criminal
violence — how illicit markets shape state-building
and growth.
</p>
</div>
</li>
<li class="research__item reveal" data-stagger>
<span class="research__num">04</span>
<div class="research__body">
<h3>Migration</h3>
<p>
Integration, labor-market dynamics, and the intersection
between migration and crime.
</p>
</div>
</li>
</ol>
</div>
</section>
<!-- RESEARCH -->
<section class="entry" id="research">
<aside class="entry__label">
<span class="entry__num">III</span>
<span class="entry__name">Research</span>
</aside>
<div class="entry__body">
<article class="project reveal" data-stagger>
<div class="project__meta">Work in progress</div>
<h3 class="project__title">
Anti-Narcotics Police Raids and Crime: Evidence from Buenos Aires Informal Settlements
</h3>
<div class="project__badges">
<span class="badge">Draft available soon</span>
</div>
<figure class="project__figure">
<img src="img/research-narcos-raids-event-study.png?v=3" alt="Stacked event-study estimates of anti-narcotics raids on total reported crime in treated villas, monthly frequency, six months pre to twelve months post." />
<figcaption>
Stacked event-study coefficients on total reported crime (monthly,
−6/+12-month window).
</figcaption>
</figure>
<div class="project__abstract">
<p>
I estimate the causal effect of anti-narcotics police raids on
local crime in the informal settlements (<em>villas</em>) of
Buenos Aires over 2016–2024. Drug trafficking in the city
is concentrated in a small set of villas controlled by
family-based clans rather than cartels, and the institutional
split between local and federal authority is unusually clean:
organized drug trafficking falls under federal jurisdiction,
so raid timing is set by federal investigators and judges rather
than by the local police forces that respond to short-run crime
fluctuations.
</p>
<p>
Using a stacked event-study difference-in-differences on a panel
of villa–date observations, preliminary results show that
total reported crime in treated villas falls after raids
— with the decline emerging in the third post-raid month
and concentrated in property crime such as robbery and theft.
Violent outcomes (homicides, threats, injuries) show no clear
post-raid response. The pattern is most consistent with a
<em>drug-market externality</em> channel: removing the local
sale point removes the addiction-driven demand for petty
acquisitive offending.
</p>
</div>
<p class="project__presented">
Presented at the
<a href="https://uomphdmeeting.uom.gr/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-umami-event="conference-link">
10th International PhD Meeting in Economics 2026
<span class="arrow-mini">↗</span>
</a>
</p>
</article>
</div>
</section>
<!-- PUBLICATIONS -->
<section class="entry" id="publications">
<aside class="entry__label">
<span class="entry__num">IV</span>
<span class="entry__name">Policy Publications</span>
</aside>
<div class="entry__body">
<ul class="pubs">
<li class="pub reveal" data-stagger>
<div class="pub__year">2024</div>
<div class="pub__detail">
<a class="pub__title" href="https://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/099726303072530043" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-umami-event="pub-click" data-umami-event-pub="honduras-taxation">
Income Taxation of the Top Earners in Honduras: Linking
Personal and Corporate Taxes
<span class="pub__arrow">↗</span>
</a>
<p class="pub__authors">
with Scot, T.; Bachas, P.; Flores, T.; Oqueli, G.;
Hernandez, E. E. Espinal; Nuñez, W. A. Ponce;
Licona, S. R. Canales.
</p>
<p class="pub__venue">World Bank · Policy Report</p>
</div>
</li>
</ul>
</div>
</section>
<!-- RESOURCES -->
<section class="entry" id="resources">
<aside class="entry__label">
<span class="entry__num">V</span>
<span class="entry__name">Claude Code Resources</span>
</aside>
<div class="entry__body">
<p class="reveal" data-stagger>
Empirical economics is changing at a pace that is hard to
predict, and the long-run shape of the field is genuinely
uncertain. Tools like Claude Code, Codex, and the broader
wave of AI assistants are reshaping how research gets done
day to day. As researchers, I think it matters to engage
with these tools deliberately — so that they
<em>amplify</em> our work rather than <em>substitute</em>
for our judgment.
</p>
<p class="reveal" data-stagger>
The list below collects repositories, workflow guides, and
presentations I have found genuinely useful in building my
own Claude Code pipeline. Most are from economists who have
shared, in concrete detail, how they actually use these
tools — opinionated enough to learn from, and specific
enough to adapt.
</p>
<ul class="resources">
<li class="resource reveal" data-stagger>
<div class="resource__type">Setup</div>
<div class="resource__detail">
<a class="resource__title" href="https://claudeblattman.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-umami-event="resource-click" data-umami-event-resource="blattman-setup">
Chris Blattman — Personal Claude Code setup
<span class="resource__arrow">↗</span>
</a>
<p class="resource__desc">
An opinionated, end-to-end configuration from the
UChicago development and conflict economist: project
structure, prompts, and conventions, with the reasoning
behind each choice.
</p>
</div>
</li>
<li class="resource reveal" data-stagger>
<div class="resource__type">Workflow</div>
<div class="resource__detail">
<a class="resource__title" href="https://psantanna.com/claude-code-my-workflow/workflow-guide.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-umami-event="resource-click" data-umami-event-resource="santanna-workflow">
Pedro H. C. Sant’Anna — Claude Code workflow guide
<span class="resource__arrow">↗</span>
</a>
<p class="resource__desc">
A step-by-step workflow guide from the Emory
econometrician: how to structure a working session,
manage context, and delegate concrete tasks across an
applied research project.
</p>
</div>
</li>
<li class="resource reveal" data-stagger>
<div class="resource__type">Template</div>
<div class="resource__detail">
<a class="resource__title" href="https://github.com/scesteros/claude-code-research-setup" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-umami-event="resource-click" data-umami-event-resource="cesteros-template">
Santiago Cesteros — claude-code-research-setup
<span class="resource__arrow">↗</span>
</a>
<p class="resource__desc">
My own setup, packaged as a GitHub template repository:
14 agents, 24 skills, 7 hooks, and 25 rules for empirical
economics research. Built on top of Blattman’s and
Sant’Anna’s setups above — ready to fork
and adapt to your project.
</p>
</div>
</li>
<li class="resource reveal" data-stagger>
<div class="resource__type">Slides</div>
<div class="resource__detail">
<a class="resource__title" href="https://www.alessandro-spina.com/claude-code/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-umami-event="resource-click" data-umami-event-resource="spina-slides">
Alessandro Spina — Claude Code for economists
<span class="resource__arrow">↗</span>
</a>
<p class="resource__desc">
Presentation slides walking through what Claude Code is,
how it differs from chat-based assistants, and the use
cases that matter most for empirical economists.
</p>
</div>
</li>
<li class="resource reveal" data-stagger>
<div class="resource__type">Posts</div>
<div class="resource__detail">
<a class="resource__title" href="https://paulgp.substack.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-umami-event="resource-click" data-umami-event-resource="goldsmith-pinkham-posts">
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham — Episodes on AI coding tools for empirical research
<span class="resource__arrow">↗</span>
</a>
<p class="resource__desc">
The Yale empirical economist writing episode-style posts
on AI coding tools as they actually integrate into
research workflows — including where they work and
where they fail.
</p>
</div>
</li>
<li class="resource reveal" data-stagger>
<div class="resource__type">Newsletter</div>
<div class="resource__detail">
<a class="resource__title" href="https://causalinf.substack.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-umami-event="resource-click" data-umami-event-resource="cunningham-newsletter">
Scott Cunningham — Causal Inference Newsletter
<span class="resource__arrow">↗</span>
</a>
<p class="resource__desc">
Scott Cunningham’s substack covers causal
inference broadly, with regular content on how AI tools
are being adopted by applied microeconomists.
</p>
</div>
</li>
<li class="resource reveal" data-stagger>
<div class="resource__type">Course</div>
<div class="resource__detail">
<a class="resource__title" href="https://eabeam.github.io/uvmecon-ai/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-umami-event="resource-click" data-umami-event-resource="aslim-beam-course">
Erkmen G. Aslim & Emily Beam — AI Tools for Teaching and Research
<span class="resource__arrow">↗</span>
</a>
<p class="resource__desc">
University of Vermont course materials offering a
structured introduction to AI tools for both research
workflows and classroom use — a good entry point
for the broader landscape.
</p>
</div>
</li>
<li class="resource reveal" data-stagger>
<div class="resource__type">Lectures</div>
<div class="resource__detail">
<a class="resource__title" href="https://markusacademy.substack.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-umami-event="resource-click" data-umami-event-resource="markus-academy">
Markus’ Academy — Princeton lecture series on AI and economics
<span class="resource__arrow">↗</span>
</a>
<p class="resource__desc">
Markus Brunnermeier’s Princeton lecture series:
talks and interviews with leading economists on how AI
is reshaping research and the discipline.
</p>
</div>
</li>
</ul>
</div>
</section>
<!-- CONTACT -->
<section class="entry entry--cta" id="contact">
<aside class="entry__label">
<span class="entry__num">VI</span>
<span class="entry__name">Contact</span>
</aside>
<div class="entry__body">
<p class="contact__intro reveal" data-stagger>
Happy to discuss research collaborations, policy work, or new ideas
across public finance, development, crime, and migration
— reach out by email or on LinkedIn.
</p>
<ul class="contact-list">
<li class="reveal" data-stagger>
<span class="contact-list__label">Email</span>
<a href="mailto:santiagorcesteros@gmail.com" data-umami-event="contact-email" data-umami-event-source="contact">
santiagorcesteros@gmail.com
<span class="arrow-mini">→</span>
</a>
</li>
<li class="reveal" data-stagger>
<span class="contact-list__label">LinkedIn</span>
<a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/santiago-cesteros" target="_blank" rel="noopener" data-umami-event="contact-linkedin">
santiago-cesteros
<span class="arrow-mini">↗</span>
</a>
</li>
<li class="reveal" data-stagger>
<span class="contact-list__label">Office</span>
<span class="contact-list__value">Universitat de Barcelona, Spain</span>
</li>
</ul>
</div>
</section>
</main>
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<span>© 2025 Santiago Rodrigo Cesteros</span>
<span>Barcelona</span>
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