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Build queue-aware market-making flagship - #1

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codex/queue-aware-flagship
Jul 12, 2026
Merged

Fink692 merged 2 commits into
mainfrom
codex/queue-aware-flagship

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@Fink692 Fink692 commented Jul 12, 2026

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What changed

  • centers Quant Systems Lab on a queue-aware market-making flagship using the verified public LOBSTER AAPL Level-5 sample
  • adds event-level ingestion, provenance manifests, order-book reconstruction and reconciliation, chronological calibration, and a shared replay engine
  • compares fixed-spread, Avellaneda–Stoikov, queue-aware, toxicity-aware, and latency-aware policies under common fill, fee, inventory, liquidation, and accounting assumptions
  • publishes queue, fee, and latency sensitivity analysis plus explicit failure cases and honest negative held-out results
  • strengthens the valuation-regime study with a later partial test fold, block-bootstrap intervals, deflated Sharpe, an overfitting diagnostic, parameter stability, bond-sleeve analysis, and risk-matched baselines
  • adds immutable experiment configuration, append-only run provenance, model cards, assumption and completion audits
  • adds an executed start-here notebook, Streamlit dashboard, architecture diagram, paper PDF, tear sheet, narrated five-minute demo, and reproducibility workflow
  • upgrades CI with Python 3.11–3.13, Ruff, Black, MyPy, coverage enforcement, dependency auditing, pre-commit, docs validation, and benchmark regression

Why

The repository already had broad model coverage. This change turns the strongest market-microstructure scaffolding into a focused, auditable research project and separates genuine research evidence from presentation claims.

The public sample is treated as pipeline validation, not proof of persistent profitability. All five held-out base market-making policies lose money, and the valuation study's bootstrap alpha interval crosses zero while simpler risk-matched baselines remain competitive or superior.

Impact

The README now provides a guided hiring-manager path through one flagship project. Raw order-book data remains ignored and is reproducibly fetched with verified hashes. Published artifacts are versioned, while licensed multi-session L2/L3 and international point-in-time datasets remain explicit future empirical gates.

Validation

  • 195 tests passed
  • 88.54% coverage (85% floor)
  • Ruff passed
  • Black passed
  • scoped MyPy passed
  • strict MkDocs build passed
  • all pre-commit hooks passed
  • dependency consistency passed
  • no known audited dependency vulnerabilities
  • notebook executed without error outputs
  • dashboard loaded through Streamlit AppTest
  • paper and tear-sheet PDFs rendered and visually inspected
  • narrated 1080p demo validated at 5:14 with audio

@Fink692
Fink692 marked this pull request as ready for review July 12, 2026 19:22
@Fink692
Fink692 merged commit 3830d86 into main Jul 12, 2026
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@Fink692
Fink692 deleted the codex/queue-aware-flagship branch July 12, 2026 19:33
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